PFW
W-L: (16-16) PR = 95.1623Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 71-90 1107 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 68-94 1109 A DOMII 1112 H We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 71-83 1115 A BOYCE **-68 1118 H Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 77-85 1121 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 60-91 1125 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 90-77 1128 A HCCOL 92-59 1203 H Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 92-** 1206 A No Kentucky HL (20-14, 95.3) 79-77 1210 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 80-65 1214 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 81-77 1221 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 72-69 1229 H WI-Milw HL (12-20, 94.6) 55-77 101 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 54-72 104 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) 74-71 107 A Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 71-69 111 A Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 79-74 118 A WI-Milw HL (12-20, 94.6) **-82 121 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 83-76 128 H Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 65-74 131 A Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 83-71 204 H Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 61-90 207 H Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 68-73 212 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 59-76 215 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 83-78 218 H No Kentucky HL (20-14, 95.3) 71-87 222 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) 92-86 225 H Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 70-74 228 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 87-81 303 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 56-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Grand Canyon 71-90 -19 -2 -0.46
1107 H Ohio St 68-94 -26 -3 0.00
1112 H We Michigan 71-83 -12 1 - -2.56
1118 H Utah 77-85 -8 -1 -1.00
1121 H St Louis 60-91 -31 -2 0.00
1125 A Chicago St 90-77 13 2 0.07
1203 H Oakland 92-** -9 0 -1.81
1206 A No Kentucky 79-77 2 0 + 2.12
1210 A Ea Michigan 80-65 15 0 1.53
1214 A Detroit 81-77 4 0 + 2.05
1221 A Notre D 72-69 3 -1 + 3.43
1229 H WI-Milw 55-77 -22 1 - -2.58
101 H Green Bay 54-72 -18 0 -1.84
104 A Cleveland St 74-71 3 1 1.16
107 A Youngstown St 71-69 2 0 1.62
111 A Robert Morris 79-74 5 -1 + 2.66
118 A WI-Milw **-82 18 1 1.44
121 A Detroit 83-76 7 0 + 2.05
128 H Oakland 65-74 -9 0 -1.81
131 A Robert Morris 83-71 12 -1 + 2.66
204 H Youngstown St 61-90 -29 0 - -2.40
207 H Wright St 68-73 -5 -1 -1.34
212 H Green Bay 59-76 -17 0 -1.84
215 A IUI 83-78 5 2 0.39
218 H No Kentucky 71-87 -16 0 -1.90
222 A Cleveland St 92-86 6 1 1.16
225 H Wright St 70-74 -4 -1 -1.34
228 A IUI 87-81 6 2 0.39
303 H Green Bay 56-64 -8 0 -1.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1112 H We Michigan 71-83 -12 1 - -2.56 1229 H WI-Milw 55-77 -22 1 - -2.58 204 H Youngstown St 61-90 -29 0 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 A No Kentucky 79-77 2 0 + 2.12 1214 A Detroit 81-77 4 0 + 2.05 1221 A Notre D 72-69 3 -1 + 3.43 111 A Robert Morris 79-74 5 -1 + 2.66 121 A Detroit 83-76 7 0 + 2.05 131 A Robert Morris 83-71 12 -1 + 2.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 71-90 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.14 -1.82
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 68-94 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.14 -1.21
3 H We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 71-83 -5.29 2.19 -0.01 1.14 -3.02
3 H Utah (10-22, 96.2) 77-85 -3.73 3.74 -0.01 1.14 -2.13
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 60-91 -2.27 5.21 -0.01 1.14 -1.30
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 90-77 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 H Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 92-** -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 A No Kentucky (20-14, 95.3) 79-77 -4.63 2.85 0.01 1.14 6.51
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 80-65 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.14 5.17
3 A Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 81-77 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.14 6.34
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 72-69 -3.32 4.16 0.01 1.14 9.49
3 H WI-Milw (12-20, 94.6) 55-77 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.14 -3.03
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 54-72 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.14 -2.60
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) 74-71 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.14 4.33
3 A Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 71-69 -5.13 2.34 0.01 1.14 5.36
3 A Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 79-74 -4.08 3.39 0.01 1.14 7.74
3 A WI-Milw (12-20, 94.6) **-82 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.14 4.96
3 A Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 83-76 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.14 6.34
3 H Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 65-74 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 A Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 83-71 -4.08 3.39 0.01 1.14 7.74
3 H Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 61-90 -5.13 2.34 -0.01 1.14 -2.93
3 H Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 68-73 -4.07 3.41 -0.01 1.14 -2.32
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 59-76 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.14 -2.60
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 83-78 -6.36 1.11 0.01 1.14 2.56
3 H No Kentucky (20-14, 95.3) 71-87 -4.63 2.85 -0.01 1.14 -2.64
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) 92-86 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.14 4.33
3 H Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 70-74 -4.07 3.41 -0.01 1.14 -2.32
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 87-81 -6.36 1.11 0.01 1.14 2.56
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 56-64 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.14 -2.60
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40.04
|
winning pts = 75.7313 losing points = -35.6952
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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